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Calculated Risk: March 14th COVID Update: COVID Deaths Declining

Mortgage Rates

by Calculated Risk on 3/14/2025 07:15:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital capacity, or hospital occupancy data.”  So, I’m no longer tracking hospitalizations.

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Deaths per Week 673 765 ≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts.
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Deaths.
✅ Goal met.


COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported since Jan 2023.

Although weekly deaths met the original goal to stop posting in June 2023 (low of 314 deaths), I’ve continued to post since deaths are above the goal again – and I’ll continue to post until weekly deaths are once again below the goal.

Weekly deaths are now decreasing following the winter pickup and only double the low last year.

And here is a graph I’m following concerning COVID in wastewater as of March 13th:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.  This has moving down recently, but still double the low of last May.

Nationally COVID in wastewater is “Low”, down from “High” four weeks ago, according to the CDC.   

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